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Investment Talks - Late cycle features at play: more pain, but not the end of the game

United Kingdom, 10/12/18,  by Amundi

  • Market sell-off: a late cycle feature where uncertainty due to tariffs, rates and oil prices are sending some red signals. Autumn comes with a change of mood in the market triggered by rising US Treasury yields, amid a hawkish FED committed to avoid any sign of overheating, and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming earnings season. All elements that will keep volatility on the rise over the next weeks.
  • Not a scary movie, but be ready for more pain. Yet, we see this as a market correction, rather than the start of a prolonged bear market. We expect some a further down trend also due to the technical reallocation of market risks. Growth areas of equity markets and high leveraged areas of the credit markets with tight valuations are the most vulnerable places at the moment.
  • How to face this environment: add duration in US debt, stay diversified in terms of risks, focus on quality and liquidity in credit, go for value (use available liquidity to buy the most discounted names) and stay out of stretched growth areas.

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Amundi is Europe’s largest asset manager by assets under management and ranks in the top 10[1] globally. It manages more than 1.470 trillion[2] euros of assets across six main investment hubs[3]. Amundi offers its clients in Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and the Americas a wealth of market expertise and a full range of capabilities across the active, passive and real assets investment universes. Clients also have access to a complete set of services and tools. Headquartered in Paris, and listed since November 2015, Amundi is the 1st asset manager in Europe by market capitalization[4].

 

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Footnotes

 

  1. ^ [1] Source IPE “Top 400 asset managers” published in June 2018 and based on AUM as of end December 2017
  2. ^ [2] Amundi figures as of September 30, 2018
  3. ^ [3] Investment hubs: Boston, Dublin, London, Milan, Paris and Tokyo
  4. ^ [4] Based on market capitalization as of September 30, 2018

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