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Investment Talks - 2020 outlook for the US 10-year Treasury bond

London, UK, 12/19/19,  by Amundi

  •  In 2019, 10-year US Treasury bonds traded in a range of 1.46-2.78%, the fourth-widest range since 2010.
  •  In 2020, we think the 10-year Treasury may trade in a similar range, with additional volatility arising from many of the same factors that drove volatility in 2019. We don’t expect the benchmark bond to exhibit a particular bias towards going higher or lower, assuming certain outlier scenarios are avoided.
  •  The current cyclical slowdown phase calls for caution, but investors may also want to prepare for a U-turn if and when earnings and economic growth reaccelerates. A macro environment marked by stabilising growth and a patient but supportive Federal Reserve should be positive for risk assets in general.
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Amundi is the European largest asset manager by assets under management1 and ranks in the top 10 globally[1]. It manages 1,563 billion[2] euros of assets across six main investment hubs[3]. Amundi offers its clients in Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and the Americas a wealth of market expertise and a full range of capabilities across the active, passive and real assets investment universes. Clients also have access to a complete set of services and tools. Headquartered in Paris, Amundi was listed in November 2015.

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Footnotes

 

  1. ^ Source IPE “Top 400 asset managers” published in June 2019 and based on AUM as of end December 2018
  2. ^ Amundi figures as of September 30, 2019
  3. ^ Investment hubs: Boston, Dublin, London, Milan, Paris and Tokyo

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