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Argentina: how recent events shape the investment outlook

  • Recent update on Argentina: Government’s decision to freeze energy prices and suspend VAT on certain products will complicate fiscal metrics. The country is likely to miss the IMF target of a primary balance for 2019. However, the IMF could disburse the September tranche of financial assistance, although conviction levels are low.
  • Credit rating downgrade: As expected, markets reacted negatively to this news. The focus now would be on government’s ability to roll over short-term USD and Argentina Peso (ARS) denominated loans.
  • Markets in the coming weeks: A bounce in asset prices could be seen as an opportunity to lighten further exposure to Argentina. Markets will now focus on the roll-over ratio of short-dated government debt in the country. Elsewhere, investors will closely watch the US-China rhetoric, comments from the Fed Chairman at Jackson Hole and global growth data.

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Amundi, the leading European asset manager, ranking among the top 10 global players[1], offers its 100 million clients - retail, institutional and corporate - a complete range of savings and investment solutions in active and passive management, in traditional or real assets.

With its six international investment hubs[2], financial and extra-financial research capabilities and long-standing commitment to responsible investment, Amundi is a key player in the asset management landscape.

Amundi clients benefit from the expertise and advice of 4,800 employees in more than 35 countries. A subsidiary of the Crédit Agricole group and listed on the stock exchange, Amundi currently manages nearly €1.8 trillion of assets[3].

 

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Footnotes

 

  1. ^ [1] Source: IPE “Top 500 Asset Managers” published in June 2021, based on assets under management as at 31/12/2020
  2. ^ [2] Boston, Dublin, London, Milan, Paris and Tokyo
  3. ^ [3] Amundi data as of 30/06/2021

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